How does the Law of Accelerating Returns apply to technology? This is a great article that delves into the hockey stick graph of future tech. It’s long, but well worth the read.
Here we are, standing in the present, with our linear experience of time and history. We can’t see the future upswing in progress, but we’re standing on the precipice of accelerating change.
Exactly how close are we to an unrecognizable future?
Well, the Internet of Things brings with it a promise of sensors and devices that can evolve virtually every part of our lives, from our homes to healthcare. Pair that with the promises of augmented reality, virtual reality, nanotechnology and artificial intelligence, and the future starts to become unrecognizable to the world we live in today.
But we’re still standing right in front of the precipice. We’re waiting for the Internet of Things to catch on. We’re mastering an increasing number of Artificial Narrow Intelligences, but have yet to make the leap to artificial general intelligence.
To quote the article,
To be human-level intelligent, a computer would have to understand things like the difference between subtle facial expressions, the distinction between being pleased, relieved, content, satisfied, and glad, and why Braveheart was great but The Patriot was terrible.
One things for sure, great technological change is happening. Perhaps exponential change isn’t that far away.